Seems to me you've analyzed and dissected the reason for your present condition extremely well there, Ed.
With that kind of insight, I believe that "sixth sense" which all experienced riders use to minimize those "unfortunate instances" such as you've just experienced is right around the corner for you.
(...in other words, I hope you'll climb right back up on that "horse" and continue to enjoy this sport...and glad to hear you and your bike are in pretty good shape, all things considered!)
